From Hypothetical To Reality – Back Testing And Simulation
Tuesday, September 14th, 2010Outliers, Timing And The Illusion Of Returns (part 2)
Tuesday, June 1st, 2010Outliers, Timing, And The Illusion Of Returns
Thursday, May 27th, 2010A perfection of means, and confusion of aims, seems to be our main problem – ALBERT EINSTEIN Malcolm Gladwell in his book Outliers says an “outlier is a scientific term to describe things or phenomena that lie outside the normal experience”. In Florida for example, you can expect most days during the summer [...]
Would A Trading Coach Help You?
Wednesday, May 5th, 2010George Bernard Shaw once said “Success does not consist in never making mistakes but in never making the same one a second time.” Of course this is easier said than done. In any event this is a critical problem in trading. We do make the same mistakes over and over and sometime working with other [...]
The Devil Is In The Details: An Important Limitation In Back Testing
Wednesday, April 14th, 2010It seems to me that back testing trading strategies before trading them is becoming increasingly more popular these days. The evolution of the “sophisticated” trading platform now offers investors access to “back testing strategies” as well as fast and cost effective execution. The “do-it-yourself” fad is on the rise, and who can cast blame when [...]
What’s Really Going On In The Markets This Year
Tuesday, March 9th, 2010Most of the articles and media reporting are centered around the stock market, because most investors and traders look to the stock market for returns. A few newspapers and magazines occasionally talk about commodities, but are mostly reporting on Gold, Copper and Oil. I thought I would put out the performance of 40 different markets [...]
Bumbling Ben Bernanke
Friday, February 12th, 2010This is an interesting short video from YouTube which covers some of Ben Bernanke’s forecast from 2005-2007, just before the crisis took us hostage. Now, I would assume that Ben Bernanke has a research staff, and access to information, that would dwarf our capabilities, not to mention he can call anyone he wants on the [...]
The Last Man Standing – Survivor Or Skill
Wednesday, February 10th, 2010Those that have knowledge don’t predict. Those that predict don’t have knowledge – LAO TZU What criteria did you use to choose your latest investment? A better question would be, are you sure that you even understand the criteria? For example, let’s say that you chose a mutual fund based on your advisors [...]
A Few Hands Make The Big Money
Thursday, January 21st, 2010Here is an interesting video of Trader Salem Abraham and Howard Lederer, legendary poker player. They discuss the similarities in managing a good poker hand and a good trade, and how folding bad hands in both cases is the key to success. Howard Lederer is known as “the Poker Professor” because of his demeanor, [...]


