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VIEWPOINTS OF A COMMODITY TRADER

Expect The Unexpected

What’s Really Going On In The Markets This Year

Tuesday, March 9th, 2010

Most of the articles and media reporting are centered around the stock market, because most investors and traders look to the stock market for returns. A few newspapers and magazines occasionally talk about commodities, but are mostly reporting on Gold, Copper and Oil.
I thought I would put out the performance of 40 different markets (compliments [...]

FOOD FOR THOUGHT: Going For The Gold (part 2)

Thursday, March 4th, 2010

Even the just may sin with an open chest of gold before them – Latin Proverb
The big question in the bullion market now is China. Is China about to make a large purchase from the IMF? According to Commodity Online “It seems so.” If media reports are to be believed, China has already sealed a [...]

FOOD FOR THOUGHT: Going For The Gold (part 1)

Tuesday, March 2nd, 2010

Even the just may sin with an open chest of gold before them – Latin Proverb
There seems to be a lot of chatter around the street that Gold will fall due to the dollars recent strength, which the experts say will reduce investment demand. The correlation between the dollar and gold remains firmly in positive [...]

FOOD FOR THOUGHT: A Festival Of Lights

Friday, February 26th, 2010

 
From the Vedas we learn a practical art of surgery, medicine, music, house building under which mechanized art is included. They are encyclopedia of every aspect of life, culture, religion, science, ethics, law, cosmology and meteorology – William James, American Author
 
 
There is always a lot of talk about China, and how they will be the [...]

INSIGHTS: Expect The Unexpected

Tuesday, February 23rd, 2010

I think some traders and investors have a difficult time dealing with uncertainty because they basically think they are right, and are afraid of being wrong. After all, no one likes to be wrong about something they have researched out and committed to. The problem with this posture is that you are more reluctant to [...]

FOOD FOR THOUGHT: Home Sweet Home (part 2)

Wednesday, February 17th, 2010

Another major problem for a housing recovery is the fact that there are a slew of adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) due to reset. According to Jim Nelson at the Daily Reckoning “The majority of these resets occurred between the summer of 2007 and the summer of 2008, which caused a massive amount of mortgage interest rate [...]

FOOD FOR THOUGHT: Home Sweet Home (part 1)

Tuesday, February 16th, 2010

We keep hearing about the recovery in the economy and the recovery in the housing market, but for the life of me the only place I see it is on T.V. What I see is a decrease in production, continued low housing numbers, higher lumber prices and a downturn in commercial real estate.  
With lending as [...]

Bumbling Ben Bernanke

Friday, February 12th, 2010

This is an interesting short video from YouTube which covers some of Ben Bernanke’s forecast from 2005-2007, just before the crisis took us hostage.
Now, I would assume that Ben Bernanke has a research staff, and access to information, that would dwarf our capabilities, not to mention he can call anyone he wants on the phone [...]

The Last Man Standing – Survivor Or Skill

Wednesday, February 10th, 2010

 
Those that have knowledge don’t predict. Those that predict don’t have knowledge – LAO TZU 
 
What criteria did you use to choose your latest investment? A better question would be, are you sure that you even understand the criteria? 
For example, let’s say that you chose a mutual fund based on your advisors presentation of how well [...]

INSIGHTS: Felix Zulaf At The Barron’s Roundtable

Tuesday, January 26th, 2010

Readers of the Viewpoints blog know that I don’t give quite the credence to the “expert” forecast as I do a good solid trading methodology, risk management and respect for the role of randomness. This does not mean however, that you should ignore the various scenarios that could unfold. It is always healthy to ponder [...]