VIEWPOINTS OF A COMMODITY TRADER

Expect The Unexpected

Outliers, Timing, And The Illusion Of Returns

Thursday, May 27th, 2010

  A perfection of means, and confusion of aims, seems to be our main problem – ALBERT EINSTEIN    Malcolm Gladwell in his book Outliers says an “outlier is a scientific term to describe things or phenomena that lie outside the normal experience”. In Florida for example, you can expect most days during the summer [...]

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The Poison Of Assumption

Tuesday, May 18th, 2010

The assumption that seeing is believing makes us susceptible to visual deceptions – KATHLEEN HALL JAMIESON     It is only human nature to make assumptions. In fact we don’t really give it much thought. We just assume our boss is impressed when we come in early or stay late. We assume our wife forgives [...]

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Who’s On First?

Wednesday, May 12th, 2010

I know that you believe you understand what you think I said, but I’m not sure you realize that what you heard is not what I meant – Robert McCloskey If you really think about it, the Euro is as much of an experiment as it is a currency. As I mentioned in my previous [...]

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FOOD FOR THOUGHT: What’s Up With The PIGS?

Thursday, May 6th, 2010

Once again, the media has many reasons (in hindsight) for the demise in Greece, Portugal and Spain, and of course are now forecasting how the situation will be resolved. Personally, I think this could be the beginning of the end for the Euro. Greece is the first test, but other European countries have problems, and [...]

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Would A Trading Coach Help You?

Wednesday, May 5th, 2010

George Bernard Shaw once said “Success does not consist in never making mistakes but in never making the same one a second time.” Of course this is easier said than done. In any event this is a critical problem in trading. We do make the same mistakes over and over and sometime working with other [...]

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