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VIEWPOINTS OF A COMMODITY TRADER

Expect The Unexpected

Skills, Time And Choice

Tuesday, November 10th, 2009

The race is not always to the swift nor the battle to the strong, but that’s the way to bet - DAMON RUNYON
 
According to Wikipedia, “A game of chance is a game whose outcome is strongly influenced by some randomizing device, and upon which contestants may or may not wager money or anything of monetary value. [...]

Size Really Does Count

Thursday, August 27th, 2009

How do we know we have enough samples of whatever it is we are testing? What amount of trades is the number? When can we be confident we have enough trades to rely on the results of our back test?
Jacob Bernoulli, the famous Swiss mathematician, is best known for his introduction of the theorem known [...]