VIEWPOINTS OF A COMMODITY TRADER

Expect The Unexpected

INSIGHTS: Confusing Design And Discovery

Friday, October 23rd, 2009

When it comes to the things that count, we humans don’t like to admit that we live in a world we know very little about. We also have a tendency to place a premium on the little that we know, and discount the larger amount that we don’t know.
It’s no wonder why we are not [...]

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Why Are We Such Suckers For Prediction?

Monday, August 10th, 2009

It is tough to make predictions, especially about the future. – YOGI BERRA
I keep CNBC on all day while I work. Perhaps I think I will miss something, or maybe it’s the background noise that’s appealing. In any event, what I always find amazing is the parade of experts making one prediction after another. I [...]

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INSIGHTS: Investing In Uncertainty

Thursday, July 30th, 2009

As most of my friends know by now I am a fan of Nassim Nicholas Taleb and his books “Fooled by Randomness” and “The Black Swan”. If you are an investor/trader I would highly recommend that you read these.
You don’t have to agree with everything, but it certainly pays to be aware of the impact [...]

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