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VIEWPOINTS OF A COMMODITY TRADER

Expect The Unexpected

Garbage In – Garbage Out

Friday, August 14th, 2009

Like any other effort in science, the back test can vary from shallow and useless to very useful. It is a matter of the quality of information that forms the test. A shallow back test, and the discipline to stick with it, is a recipe for disaster.
The quality of information determines the significance in the [...]

INSIGHTS: Investing In Uncertainty

Thursday, July 30th, 2009

As most of my friends know by now I am a fan of Nassim Nicholas Taleb and his books “Fooled by Randomness” and “The Black Swan”. If you are an investor/trader I would highly recommend that you read these.
You don’t have to agree with everything, but it certainly pays to be aware of the impact [...]