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VIEWPOINTS OF A COMMODITY TRADER

Expect The Unexpected

A Focus On The Exceptions That Prove The Rule

Thursday, August 6th, 2009

Here is an interesting excerpt from Benoit Mandelbrot’s paper entitled “A focus on the exceptions that prove the rule” If you would like the full article click here.“Conventional studies of uncertainty, whether in statistics, economics, finance or social science, have largely stayed close to the so-called “bell curve”, a symmetrical graph that represents a probability distribution. [...]

INSIGHTS: Facts And Fantasies About Commodity Futures

Friday, July 31st, 2009

In a 2004 groundbreaking study from The Yale School of Management’s Center for International Finance titled “Facts and Fantasies about Commodity Futures”, Drs. Gary Gorton and Ken Rouwenhorst show that not only are commodity futures negatively correlated to stocks and bonds, but also that commodity returns are greater than bonds and have about the same [...]